Success and Luck: Good Fortune and the Myth of Meritocracy
Success and Luck: Good Fortune and the Myth of Meritocracy book cover

Success and Luck: Good Fortune and the Myth of Meritocracy

Paperback – September 26, 2017

Price
$17.95
Format
Paperback
Pages
208
Publisher
Princeton University Press
Publication Date
ISBN-13
978-0691178301
Dimensions
5.25 x 0.47 x 8 inches
Weight
6 ounces

Description

"One of Bloomberg View’s “Five Books to Change Conservatives’ Minds,” chosen by Cass Sunstein""One of Choice's Outstanding Academic Titles for 2016""Honorable Mention for the 2017 PROSE Award in Economics, Association of American Publishers""Longlisted for the Financial Times and McKinsey Business Book of the Year 2016""The reminder about the important role of luck is welcome." ― Enlightened Economist "Frank is not just arguing that luck plays an important role in the lives of successful people such as Al Pacino. If that were all he was doing, his book would be engaging but trivial. But it is much more interesting than that." ---Tyler Cowen, Financial Times "A deep and stimulating book." ---Tyler Cowen, Marginal Revolution "Frank's book gives a compelling argument for why we should consider our collective needs more when we look to change society for the better." ---Jill Suttie, Psy.D., Greater Good "Well reasoned, coherent, and compelling--Frank is one of the great writers of economics." ― Fortune "The most striking of Frank's arguments is a computer-simulated proof of luck's importance, even in very nearly meritocratic situations." ---Tim Smith-Laing, Daily Telegraph "Reading Success and Luck is almost like having a robust conversation over dinner--a simple premise, some explanation, a few examples. . . . It is commendable that he is addressing the problem with an actual solution in mind." ---Kris Rothstein, Bookslut "Frank makes his points persuasively." ― Australian Financial Review "This is a bold vision and, although controversial, has a good deal more realism than the dangerous siren calls from the left for wage caps or punitive income tax rates for high earners." ---Matthew Syed, The Times "Like any good economist, Frank backs up his argument with studies and statistics; and like any good behavioral economist, he investigates why this obvious fact is so hard for so many Americans to accept, and offers some strategies for overcoming that resistance." ---Cory Doctorow, Boing Boing "Frank points out that for every big winner, there are scores of people who are as skilled, hard-working and intelligent, but came in just behind. The lack of a lucky break can be the difference between wild success and a near miss or worse." ---Barry Ritholtz, Bloomberg View " Success and Luck is an important book: elegantly written, well argued and desisting from self-indulgence in its length." ---Tim Wigmore, New Statesman "The book is diverting and easy to read. . . . He makes a compelling case for the role of luck in much of the wealth held by people in developed societies." ---Ouida Taaffe, Financial World "[An] occasionally humorous, yet most insightful book." ― David Marx Book Reviews "Robert Frank's enjoyable treatise, Success and Luck , might be the better bet for fixing society. His case histories show that while winners often need talent and hard work to succeed, they also need simple, dumb luck." ---Debora MacKenzie, New Scientist "How important is luck in monetary success?. . . . Is luck as important as hard work in becoming successful?. . . . These important questions--we ponder them often--that economists rarely bother to study. Except for one of my favourite economists Robert Frank." ---Ross Gittins, Sydney Morning Herald "What makes Success and Luck different is that Frank connects the importance of luck in determining personal economic success with a set of larger policy recommendations." ---Dr. Joshua Kim, Inside Higher Ed " Success and Luck is written in a clear, engaging and personable style, not least because it is littered with anecdotes and stories illustrating the huge effects that tiny chance events can have. I found examples from Frank's own life especially compelling." ---Dan McArthur, LSE Review of Books "Though hard work, effort, and schooling are important factors, Frank demonstrates convincingly that pure, random luck also matters (a lot). . . . This book is well reasoned, coherent, and compelling--Frank is one of the great writers of economics." ― Choice "Robert Frank's recent book, Success and Luck , is an engaging, partly autobiographical account of why and how most Americans underestimate the role of luck in economic success. Frank sees our tendency to overlook the role of luck as a cultural bias that helps explain why we are less likely than Europeans to favor high taxes on the rich and generous benefits for the poor." ---Christopher Jencks, The American Interest "An important book, which takes a plausible approach to a difficult problem of genuine significance. It deserves to be widely read and publicly discussed." ---James Case, SIAM News "Frank makes a strong case for his account of the many ways that chance contributes to social outcomes. In a rational, fact-based world, policy makers would pay attention." ---David A. Kirsch, Administrative Science Quarterly "A very courageous book. . . . Luck, and lucky encounters are realistically important and a great part of our life." ---Anna Maria Polidori, Al Femminile "Praise for the previous edition: "Frank deftly weaves personal anecdotes. . . With fascinating case studies. . . . Fortune, Frank says, favors the fortunate. And not acknowledging that can have unlucky consequences, for both policymakers and businesses."" ― Financial Times "Well-crafted and enjoyable to read." ---Alain Trannoy, Journal of Economic Inequality "Building a successful life requires a deep conviction that you are the author of your own destiny. Building a successful society requires an equally deep conviction that no one's destiny is their own to write. Balancing these seemingly contradictory ideas may be the most important social challenge of our time. And Robert Frank has just written the most important book on the subject. Success and Luck is essential reading." ―Duncan Watts, principal researcher, Microsoft Research, and author of Everything Is Obvious (Once You Know the Answer): How Common Sense Fails Us " Success and Luck is a wonderful read―insightful, humorous, loaded with evidence, and full of common sense." ―Frank Convery, chief economist of the Environmental Defense Fund "The most skillful writer in economics has now written an amazing book on luck. Robert Frank brilliantly explains why luck is playing an increasingly important role in the world's outcomes, why it is hard for all of us to realize it, and why there is a simple fix to the vast inequalities caused by sheer luck―a solution that will make all of our lives better. You will feel very lucky to have read it." ―Nicholas Epley, author of Mindwise: Why We Misunderstand What Others Think, Believe, Feel, and Want "We all like to think we live in a just world, where most people get what they deserve most of the time. In this lovely and insightful book, Robert Frank urges us to think again. His poignant description of random wins and losses in his own career complements his deft summary of the broad evidence that chance shapes success. Not that we shouldn't all try hard to succeed―we should, rather, try harder to pool risks and hedge bets in ways that improve both efficiency and justice." ―Nancy Folbre, author of Greed, Lust, and Gender: A History of Economic Ideas "Growing inequality of wealth, leading to growing inequality of political power, has become a first-order social problem. Understanding the role of luck in economic outcomes is the first step toward formulating sensible policies to get runaway inequality back under control. Robert Frank's Success and Luck is a jewel: succinct, well written, and convincing. We're all lucky to be able to read it." ―Mark A.R. Kleiman, New York University's Marron Institute "Robert Frank has a terrific mind and a huge heart. In this book, he shows that luck plays a massive role in successful lives―and he explains precisely why we underestimate that role. In the process, he offers important recommendations for how to make our economy both more efficient and more fair. A beautiful book." ―Cass R. Sunstein, Harvard University "In this very valuable and readable book, Robert Frank presents the evidence and tightens the case for an important and vastly underappreciated fact: luck has more influence on personal success than most of us recognize or admit. He also makes the case that luck's role in where we end up in terms of income, education, status, and other outcomes has a big impact on how we perceive government, taxes, and public social spending." ―Lane Kenworthy, University of California, San Diego "Robert Frank's Success and Luck should be read by everybody. Not only will you learn much new, subtle, important economics, you will also learn about yourself. You will be more generous and more satisfied: because you will see your successes as not just the product of your own hard work, but also of some good luck and help from others. All that, and, also, Success and Luck is a joy to read. I am going to send a copy to my brother (a physicist) and to my son (an economist) for their birthdays." ―George A. Akerlof, Nobel Laureate in Economics "Building a successful life requires a deep conviction that you are the author of your own destiny. Building a successful society requires an equally deep conviction that no one's destiny is their own to write. Balancing these seemingly contradictory ideas may be the most important social challenge of our time. And Robert Frank has just written the most important book on the subject. Success and Luck is essential reading." --Duncan Watts, principal researcher, Microsoft Research, and author of Everything Is Obvious (Once You Know the Answer): How Common Sense Fails Us " Success and Luck is a wonderful read--insightful, humorous, loaded with evidence, and full of common sense." --Frank Convery, chief economist of the Environmental Defense Fund "The most skillful writer in economics has now written an amazing book on luck. Robert Frank brilliantly explains why luck is playing an increasingly important role in the world's outcomes, why it is hard for all of us to realize it, and why there is a simple fix to the vast inequalities caused by sheer luck--a solution that will make all of our lives better. You will feel very lucky to have read it." --Nicholas Epley, author of Mindwise: Why We Misunderstand What Others Think, Believe, Feel, and Want "We all like to think we live in a just world, where most people get what they deserve most of the time. In this lovely and insightful book, Robert Frank urges us to think again. His poignant description of random wins and losses in his own career complements his deft summary of the broad evidence that chance shapes success. Not that we shouldn't all try hard to succeed--we should, rather, try harder to pool risks and hedge bets in ways that improve both efficiency and justice." --Nancy Folbre, author of Greed, Lust, and Gender: A History of Economic Ideas "Growing inequality of wealth, leading to growing inequality of political power, has become a first-order social problem. Understanding the role of luck in economic outcomes is the first step toward formulating sensible policies to get runaway inequality back under control. Robert Frank's Success and Luck is a jewel: succinct, well written, and convincing. We're all lucky to be able to read it." --Mark A.R. Kleiman, New York University's Marron Institute "Robert Frank has a terrific mind and a huge heart. In this book, he shows that luck plays a massive role in successful lives--and he explains precisely why we underestimate that role. In the process, he offers important recommendations for how to make our economy both more efficient and more fair. A beautiful book." --Cass R. Sunstein, Harvard University "In this very valuable and readable book, Robert Frank presents the evidence and tightens the case for an important and vastly underappreciated fact: luck has more influence on personal success than most of us recognize or admit. He also makes the case that luck's role in where we end up in terms of income, education, status, and other outcomes has a big impact on how we perceive government, taxes, and public social spending." --Lane Kenworthy, University of California, San Diego "Robert Frank's Success and Luck should be read by everybody. Not only will you learn much new, subtle, important economics, you will also learn about yourself. You will be more generous and more satisfied: because you will see your successes as not just the product of your own hard work, but also of some good luck and help from others. All that, and, also, Success and Luck is a joy to read. I am going to send a copy to my brother (a physicist) and to my son (an economist) for their birthdays." --George A. Akerlof, Nobel Laureate in Economics Robert H. Frank is the H. J. Louis Professor of Management and Professor of Economics at Cornell University's Johnson School of Management. He has been an Economic View columnist for the New York Times for more than a decade and his books include The Winner-Take-All Society (with Philip J. Cook), The Economic Naturalist , The Darwin Economy (Princeton), and Principles of Economics (with Ben S. Bernanke). He lives in Ithaca, New York. Read more

Features & Highlights

  • From
  • New York Times
  • bestselling author and economics columnist Robert Frank, a compelling book that explains why the rich underestimate the importance of luck in their success, why that hurts everyone, and what we can do about it
  • How important is luck in economic success? No question more reliably divides conservatives from liberals. As conservatives correctly observe, people who amass great fortunes are almost always talented and hardworking. But liberals are also correct to note that countless others have those same qualities yet never earn much. In recent years, social scientists have discovered that chance plays a much larger role in important life outcomes than most people imagine. In
  • Success and Luck
  • , bestselling author and
  • New York Times
  • economics columnist Robert Frank explores the surprising implications of those findings to show why the rich underestimate the importance of luck in success―and why that hurts everyone, even the wealthy.Frank describes how, in a world increasingly dominated by winner-take-all markets, chance opportunities and trivial initial advantages often translate into much larger ones―and enormous income differences―over time; how false beliefs about luck persist, despite compelling evidence against them; and how myths about personal success and luck shape individual and political choices in harmful ways.But, Frank argues, we could decrease the inequality driven by sheer luck by adopting simple, unintrusive policies that would free up trillions of dollars each year―more than enough to fix our crumbling infrastructure, expand healthcare coverage, fight global warming, and reduce poverty, all without requiring painful sacrifices from anyone. If this sounds implausible, you'll be surprised to discover that the solution requires only a few, noncontroversial steps.Compellingly readable,
  • Success and Luck
  • shows how a more accurate understanding of the role of chance in life could lead to better, richer, and fairer economies and societies.

Customer Reviews

Rating Breakdown

★★★★★
30%
(106)
★★★★
25%
(88)
★★★
15%
(53)
★★
7%
(25)
23%
(81)

Most Helpful Reviews

✓ Verified Purchase

A bit underwhelming

I was prepared to love this book. I think the role of luck is not well understood in popular culture and there's now a plethora of potentially interesting research that could illuminate that.

However, as I began reading this slim volume I realised the problem -- how many studies can you actually read about? I mean, after a handful you go "Yup, okay, luck has a big impact". The book needs to have something more than just that. And it seems that the author had the same realisation because after 40% of the book he switches from trying to convince you about the role of luck to designing a new tax system to mitigate the impact of luck.

A few other readers have also commented that it feels a bit out of place. Not that I even disagree with the author...but it just isn't really what I was hoping to read about when I picked up this book.

I think a tighter focus on luck would have kept my interest and left me more satisfied. I'm not even sure exactly how that would have been done without summarising dozens of more identical studies, however.

Nevertheless, the first part of the book was interesting but it also isn't much more than a good Atlantic article on the subject. (And I'm willing to bet that the author has already written something like that....)
2 people found this helpful
✓ Verified Purchase

Ignoring the role of luck imperils society

Success and Luck: Good Fortune and the Myth of Meritocracy, by Robert Frank, is a quick and illuminating read about the fundamental role of luck in success, how ignoring that simple truth contributes to wealth inequality, and a straightforward tax-based solution to help mitigate it.

The problem is simple: people who succeed, at anything really, attribute their success solely to hard work and perseverance, negating the ever-present role of luck. And those who don’t succeed are often seen as simply not trying hard enough, or lacking the skill and expertise to succeed, as if somehow deserving of their poor fortune, rather than considering their lack of good fortune.

As Frank points out, there’s a good reason for this — it helps us make our way through an uncaring, often hostile world: “So if believing that talent and effort are all that matter makes it easier to tackle difficult tasks, then denying luck’s importance may be adaptive.”

We lie to ourselves that we’re masters of our own destiny to avoid sitting around paralyzed with fear and doubt: “As with beliefs about luck, then, beliefs about free will might be adaptive even if they are objectively false.”

This is belief is inaccurate of course. Luck — from the country you are born into, the color of your skin, the wealth of your parents, the food your mother ate before you were born, the circle of influence wealth gives you — is completely outside our control, but each element contributes to a cumulative propelling effect that, in addition to effort and tenacity, lead to more opportunities and better potential outcomes.

The problem of course is, without the myriad forms of luck that lead to enrollment in an ivy league school or a job on Wall Street, all the hard work and tenacity in the world still can’t overcome bad or even neutral luck. Admitting to this, which seems pretty straightforward to me, drives some people to distraction, as if it’s an attack on the American dream itself. And NOT owning up to this has dramatic effects on society.

“If being born in a good environment is one of the luckiest things that can happen to anyone, it is failure to appreciate luck’s importance that has done the most to undermine our collective stock of good fortune. That’s because failure to appreciate luck’s importance has made successful people more reluctant to pay the taxes required to support the investments necessary to maintain a good environment.”

Being born lucky (and that can take any number of forms — say, white, straight, into a wealthy family in an affluent neighborhood), and you get to swim with the economic currents. If you’re born unlucky, and start taking away any of those attributes, you have to swim against the currents. Effort, tenacity and personal responsibility still count, it just takes two, three or four times as much to make it half the distance.

The author uses some basic studies from cognitive science — all the biases we carry around with us to justify being the heroes of our own stories — to bring this to light.
He points out that “…those who are oblivious to their own advantages are often similarly oblivious to other people’s disadvantages…”

And he offers a simple tax change to start mitigating against the inequality and lack of opportunity that keep so many swimming against the current: a progressive consumption tax rather than an individual income tax to generate enough revenue to fund a society that can help offset bad luck and create more opportunity.

“…individuals can’t choose the environments into which they’re born. But society as a whole can mold those environments in significant ways. Doing so, however, requires intensive levels of investment. We who were born into highly developed countries are thus the lucky beneficiaries of centuries of intensive investment by those who came before us. In recent decades, however, those investments have been depreciating.”

His proposed tax plan works something like this: people pay taxes on the difference between what they earn and what they save, the money spent on consumption. It’s progressive, so money spent on the basics, say, food and rent, is taxed at a lower rate than money spent on a condo on Park Avenue or a high-end sports car. The tax, in essence, helps re-direct money spent on lavish items into the federal coffers to spend on infrastructure and social investments and, since we’re all in the same boat, it doesn’t feel like the wealthy are being singled out to pay a greater share.

“…being born in a good environment is an enormous stroke of good fortune. More important, it is the one form of good luck over which societies have any significant degree of control. But that control requires high levels of investment, which many societies have lately been reluctant to support.”

It seems like a pretty elegant solution — and one that will progress exactly zero inches under the current administration and in a society that seems determined to redirect the fruits of the economy to the lucky few at the top — deserving of it’s own book.

Still, it’s great to see an author providing an actual, well-thought out solution to wealth inequality and shining a light on the dark side of a society in which so many struggle to get by while a lucky few, with wealth and influence passed from generation to generation, shape policies that prevent others from having the opportunity, with a little luck, to climb the ladder as well.

“People succeed on a spectacular scale, then use some of their gains to win more favorable tax and regulatory treatment, which increases their wealth still further, enabling them to buy even more favorable treatment…”

Positive change, it seems, starts with an appreciation of the role of luck in individual success:

“In the normal course of events, few of us give much thought to how seemingly minor random events often profoundly alter our lives. Failure to give luck its due is of course not the only reason we’ve failed to maintain the environments that so many of us have been fortunate enough to enjoy.”

The book ends on a well-deserved note of caution:

“We could wait for the inevitable financial crisis to occur. Or we could start talking now about why it would make sense to take action more quickly.”
✓ Verified Purchase

Good luck

Frank tells us that luck has a greater role to play in our lives than we give it credit. Talented and good men doused with bad luck appear as failures. But conversely, as E B White says, ‘Luck is not something to mentioned in the presence of self-made men’.

Giving example after example, Frank shows why luck has a crucial role to play in our failures and successes. Al Pacino was an unknown actor who might not have made it had the director not insisted on his lack of fame over that of Michael Caan (reduced to a supporting role). Bill Gates has a string of good luck all documented in Frank’s account.

Frank goes on to explain why it is that we do not give luck its due. We are more inclined to the slightest flattery that we overlook the role of luck. In choices we make and judgments we pass about others, we rarely evaluate objective evidence. Thus increasing the incidents of luck.

We should give more weight to events of uncertainty. In that way, we learn to have a clearer insight into our own fortunes (or misfortunes) and temper our ego with humility. The shortcoming of this book is that it may come a little short on scientific proof of his thesis although intuitively we tend to agree with him.